Staff profiles

Chris RollinsSeismic Hazard / Geodetic Modeller

Rollins Chris 3662

Pronouns

he/him/his

Department

Earthquake Physics and Statistics

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Qualifications

  • PhD, Geophysics
  • BSc, Geological Sciences (minor in physics)

Areas of expertise

  • Geophysics: Collision zones
  • Geophysics: Crustal deformation and neotectonics
  • Geophysics: GNSS
  • Geophysics: Geodetic data analysis
  • Geophysics: Historical seismicity
  • Geophysics: InSAR Geodesy
  • Geophysics: Quality control on earthquake database
  • Geophysics: Seismic hazard models
  • Geophysics: Statistical Seismology
  • Geophysics: Stress triggering
  • Geophysics: Subduction zones
  • Geophysics: Tectonic geodesy

Publications

Selection of major publications
  • Wright, T.J.; Houseman, G.A.; Fang, J.; Maghsoudi, Y.; Hooper, A.J.; Elliott, J.R.; Evans, L.; Lazecky, M.; Ou, Q.; Parsons, B.E.; Rollins, J.C.; Shen, L.; Wang, H.; Wang, D. 2026. High-resolution geodetic velocities reveal role of weak faults in deformation of Tibetan Plateau, Science 391(6784): p. 499-503. DOI: 10.1126/science.adi3552. p. 499-503
  • Elliott, J.R.; Fang, J.; Lazecky, M.; Maghsoudi, Y.; Ou, Q.; Payne, J.A.; Rollins, J.C.; Wang, D.; Hooper, A.; Wright, T.J. 2026. Deformation, strains and velocities for the Alpine Himalayan Belt from trans-continental Sentinel-1 InSAR & GNSS, Remote Sensing of Environment 338: article 115320. DOI: 10.1016/j.rse.2026.115320. article 115320
  • Chang, F.; Fang, J.; Dong, S.; Yin, H.; Rollins, J.C.; Elliott, J.R.; Hooper, A.J. 2025. Geodetic strain rates, slip deficit rates, and seismic potential in the Tianshan, central Asia, Geophysical Research Letters 52(22): article e2025GL118470. DOI: 10.1029/2025GL118470. article e2025GL118470
  • Antoine, S.L.; Shrestha, R.; Milliner, C.; Im, K.; Rollins, J.C.; Wang, K.; Chen, K.; Avouac, J.-P. 2025. The 2025 Mw7.7 Mandalay, Myanmar, earthquake reveals a complex earthquake cycle with clustering and variable segmentation on the Sagaing Fault, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 122(33): article e2514378122. DOI: 10.1073/pnas.2514378122. article e2514378122
  • Rollins, J.C.; Christophersen, A.; Thingbaijam, K.K.S.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Hutchinson, J.; Eberhart-Phillips, D.; Bannister, S.; Van Dissen, R.J.; Seebeck, H.; Ellis, S.M. 2025. An integrated earthquake catalog for Aotearoa New Zealand (Version 1), event type classifications, and regional earthquake depth distributions, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 115(4): p. 1703-1718. DOI: 10.1785/0120230179. p. 1703-1718
  • Coffey, G.L.; Rollins, J.C.; Van Dissen, R.J.; Rhoades, D.A.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Litchfield, N.J.; Thingbaijam, K.K.S. 2024. Paleoseismic earthquake recurrence interval derivation for the 2022 revision of the New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model, Seismological Research Letters 95(1): p. 78-94. DOI: 10.1785/0220230197. p. 78-94
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Bora, S.S.; Bradley, B.A.; DiCaprio, C.; Kaiser, A.E.; Manea, E.F.; Nicol, A.; Rollins, J.C.; Stirling, M.W.; Thingbaijam, K.K.S.; Van Dissen, R.J.; Abbott, E.R.; Atkinson, G.M.; Chamberlain, C.; Christophersen, A.; Clark, K.J.; Coffey, G.L.; de la Torre, C.A.; Ellis, S.M.; Fraser, J.; Graham, K.M.; Griffin, J.; Hamling, I.J.; Hill, M.P.; Howell, A.; Hulsey, A.; Hutchinson, J.; Iturrieta, P.; Johnson, K.M.; Jurgens, V.O.; Kirkman, R.; Langridge, R.M.; Lee, R.L.; Litchfield, N.J.; Maurer, J.; Milner, K.R.; Rastin, S.J.; Rattenbury, M.S.; Rhoades, D.A.; Ristau, J.; Schorlemmer, D.; Seebeck, H.; Shaw, B.E.; Stafford, P.J.; Stolte, A.C.; Townend, J.; Villamor, P.; Wallace, L.M.; Weatherill, G.; Williams, C.A.; Wotherspoon, L.M. 2024. The 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model : process, overview, and results, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 114(1): p. 7-36. DOI: 10.1785/0120230182. p. 7-36
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Van Dissen, R.J.; Rollins, J.C.; DiCaprio, C.; Thingbaijim, K.K.S.; Bora, S.S.; Chamberlain, C.; Christophersen, A.; Coffey, G.L.; Ellis, S.M.; Iturrieta, P.; Johnson, K.M.; Litchfield, N.J.; Nicol, A.; Milner, K.R.; Rastin, S.J.; Rhoades, D.A.; Seebeck, H.; Shaw, B.E.; Stirling, M.W.; Wallace, L.M.; Allen, T.I.; Bradley, B.A.; Charlton, D.H.; Clark, K.J.; Fraser, J.; Griffin, J.; Hamling, I.J.; Howell, A.; Doyle, E.E.H.; Hulsey, A.; Jurgens, V.O.; Kaiser, A.E.; Kirkman, R.; Langridge, R.M.; Maurer, J.; Rattenbury, M.S.; Ristau, J.; Schorlemmer, D.; Townend, J.; Villamor, P.; Williams, C.A. 2024. The seismicity rate model for the 2022 Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 114(1): p. 182-216. DOI: 10.1785/0120230165. p. 182-216
  • Rollins, J.C.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Rhoades, D.A.; Rastin, S.J.; Christophersen, A.; Thingbaijam, K.K.S.; Van Dissen, R.J.; Graham, K.M; DiCaprio, C.; Fraser, J. 2024. The magnitude–frequency distributions of earthquakes in Aotearoa New Zealand and on adjoining subduction zones, using a new integrated earthquake catalog, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 114(1): p. 150-181. DOI: 10.1785/0120230177. p. 150-181
  • Johnson, K.M.; Wallace, L.M.; Maurer, J.; Hamling, I.J.; Williams, C.A.; Rollins, J.C.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Van Dissen, R.J. 2024. Inverting geodetic strain rates for slip deficit rate in complex deforming zones: an application to the New Zealand plate boundary, Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth 129(3): 21 p.. DOI: 10.1029/2023JB027565. 21 p.
  • Van Dissen, R.J.; Johnson, K.M.; Seebeck, H.; Wallace, L.M.; Rollins, J.C.; Maurer, J.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Williams, C.A.; Hamling, I.J.; Howell, A.; DiCaprio, C.J. 2024. Upper plate and subduction interface deformation models in the 2022 revision of the Aotearoa New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 114(1): p. 37-56. DOI: 10.1785/0120230118. p. 37-56
  • Rollins, C.; Freymueller, J.T.; Sauber, J.M. 2021. Stress promotion of the 1958 Mw~7.8 Fairweather Fault earthquake and others in Southeast Alaska by glacial isostatic adjustment and inter-earthquake stress transfer, Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth 126(1): e2020JB020411. DOI: 10.1029/2020JB020411. e2020JB020411
  • Weiss, J.R.; Walters, R.J.; Morishita, Y.; Wright, T.J.; Lazecky, M.; Wang, H.; Hussain, E.; Hooper, A.J.; Elliot, J.R.; Rollins, C.; Yu, C.; González, P.J.; Spaans, K.; Li, Z.; Parsons, B. 2020. High-resolution surface velocities and strain for Anatolia from Sentinel-1 InSAR and GNSS data, Geophysical Research Letters 47(17): e2020GL087376. DOI: 10.1029/2020GL087376. e2020GL087376
  • Liu-Zeng, J.; Zhang, Z.; Rollins, C.; Gualandi, A.; Avouac, J.-P.; Shi, H.; Wang, P.; Chen, W.; Zhang, R.; Zhang, P.; Wang, W.; Li, Y. 2020. Postseismic deformation following the 2015 Mw7.8 Gorkha (Nepal) earthquake : new GPS data, kinematic and dynamic models, and the roles of afterslip and viscoelastic relaxation, Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth 125(9): e2020JB019852. DOI: 10.1029/2020JB019852. e2020JB019852
  • Gualandi, A.; Liu, Z.; Rollins, C. 2020. Post-large earthquake seismic activities mediated by aseismic deformation processes, Earth and Planetary Science Letters 530: article 115870. DOI: 10.1016/j.epsl.2019.115870. article 115870
  • Rollins, C.; Avouac, J.-P. 2019. A geodesy- and seismicity-based local earthquake likelihood model for central Los Angeles, Geophysical Research Letters 46(6): p. 3153-3162. DOI: 10.1029/2018GL080868. p. 3153-3162
  • Rollins, C.; Avouac, J.-P.; Landry, W.; Argus, D.F.; Barbot, S. 2018. Interseismic strain accumulation on faults beneath Los Angeles, California, Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth 123(8): p. 7126-7150. DOI: 10.1029/2017JB015387. p. 7126-7150
  • Rollins, C.; Barbot, S.; Avouac, J.-P. 2015. Postseismic deformation following the 2010 M = 7.2 El Mayor-Cucapah earthquake : observations, kinematic inversions, and dynamic models, Pure and Applied Geophysics 172(5): p. 1305-1358. DOI: 10.1007/s00024-014-1005-6. p. 1305-1358
  • Rollins, C.; Stein, R.C. 2010. Coulomb stress interactions among M >/= 5.9 earthquakes in the Gorda deformation zone and on the Mendocino Fault Zone, Cascadia subduction zone, and northern San Andreas Fault, Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth 115: B12306. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2009JB007117. B12306

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