Staff profiles

Matt GerstenbergerSeismologist

Gerstenberger Matt 1506


Seismology - Source to Surface

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  • BSc, Geophysics
  • MSc, Geophysics
  • PhD, Seismology

Areas of expertise

  • Geophysics: Earthquake Forecasting Methodologies
  • Geophysics: Real-time seismological monitoring
  • Geophysics: Real-time seismological analysis
  • Geophysics: Applications of statistics
  • Geophysics: Long-range forecasting
  • Geophysics: Seismic hazard models
  • Geophysics: Hazard and risk assessment
  • Geophysics: Earthquake hazard modelling
  • Geophysics: Earthquake loss modelling
  • Geology: CO2 sequestration
  • Geophysics: Probabilist hazard and risk
  • Geophysics: CO2 Sequestration Risk Assessment
  • Geophysics: Time Varying Hazard

Major Publications

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  • Stirling, M.W.; Gerstenberger, M.C. 2018. Applicability of the Gutenberg-Richter relation for major active faults in New Zealand, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 108(2): p. 718-728. DOI: 10.1785/0120160257.
  • Rhoades, D.A.; Christophersen, A.; Gerstenberger, M.C. 2017. Multiplicative earthquake likelihood models incorporating strain rates, Geophysical Journal International 208(3): p. 1764-1774. DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggw486.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Rhoades, D.A.; McVerry, G.H. 2016. A hybrid time-dependent probabilistic seismic-hazard model for Canterbury, New Zealand, Seismological Research Letters 87(6): p. 1311-1318. DOI: 10.1785/0220160084.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Fry, B. 2016. Preface to the focus section on the joint Japan–Taiwan–New Zealand national seismic hazard model collaboration, Seismological Research Letters 87(6): p. 1236-1239. DOI: 10.1785/0220160166.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Christophersen, A. 2016. A Bayesian network and structured expert elicitation for Otway Stage 2C : detection of injected CO2 in a saline aquifer, International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 51: p. 317-329. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2016.05.011.
  • Rhoades, D.A.; Liukis, M.; Christophersen, A.; Gerstenberger, M.C. 2016. Retrospective tests of hybrid operational earthquake forecasting models for Canterbury, Geophysical Journal International 204(1): p. 440-456. DOI: 10.1093/gji/ggv447.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Christophersen, A.; Buxton, R.; Nicol, A. 2015. Bi-directional risk assessment in carbon capture and storage with Bayesian Networks, International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control 35: p. 150-159. DOI: 10.1016/j.ijggc.2015.01.010.
  • Jordan, T.H.; Marzocchi, W.; Michael, A.J.; Gerstenberger, M.C. 2014. Operational earthquake forecasting can enhance earthquake preparedness, Seismological Research Letters 85(5): p. 955-959. DOI: 10.1785/0220140143.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; McVerry, G.H.; Rhoades, D.A.; Stirling, M.W. 2014. Seismic hazard modeling for the recovery of Christchurch, New Zealand, Earthquake Spectra 30(1): p. 17-29. DOI: 10.1193/021913EQS037M.
  • Stirling, M.W.; McVerry, G.H.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Litchfield, N.J.; Van Dissen, R.J.; Berryman, K.R.; Barnes, P.; Wallace, L.M.; Villamor, P.; Langridge, R.M.; Lamarche, G.; Nodder, S.; Reyners, M.E.; Bradley, B.; Rhoades, D.A.; Smith, W.D.; Nicol, A.; 2012. National seismic hazard model for New Zealand : 2010 update, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 102(4): p. 1514-1542. DOI: 10.1785/0120110170.
  • Worden, C.B.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Rhoades, D.A.; Wald, D.J. 2012. Probabilistic relationships between ground-motion parameters and modified mercalli intensity in California, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 102(1): p. 204-221. DOI: 10.1785/0120110156.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Cubrinovski, M.; McVerry, G.H.; Stirling, M.W.; Rhoades, D.A.; Bradley, B.; Langridge, R.M.; Webb, T.H.; Peng, B.; Pettinga, J.; Berryman, K.R.; Brackley, H.L. 2011. Probabilistic assessment of liquefaction potential for Christchurch in the next 50 years
  • Fry, B.; Gerstenberger, M.C. 2011. Large apparent stresses from the Canterbury earthquakes of 2010 and 2011, Seismological Research Letters 82(6): p, 833-838. DOI: 10.1785/gssrl.82.6.833.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; McVerry, G.H.; Rhoades, D.A.; Stirling, M.W.; Berryman, K.R.; Webb, T.H. 2011. Update of the Z-factor for Christchurch considering earthquake clustering following the Darfield earthquake
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Rhoades, D.A. 2010. New Zealand Earthquake Forecast Testing Centre, Pure and Applied Geophysics 167(8/9): p. 877-892. DOI: 10.1007/s00024-010-0082-4.
  • Stirling, M.W.; Gerstenberger, M.C. 2010. Ground motion-based testing of seismic hazard models in New Zealand, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 100(4): p. 1407-1414. DOI: 10.1785/0120090336.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Nicol, A.; Stenhouse, M.; Allinson, G.; Berryman, K.R.; Doody, B.J.; Ho, M.; McCurdy, M.; Neal, P.; Stirling, M.W.; Webb, T.H.; Wright, K.C. 2009. Opportunities for underground geological storage of CO2 in New Zealand : report CCS-08/10, risk assessment methodologies
  • Stirling, M.W.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Litchfield, N.J.; McVerry, G.H.; Smith, W.D.; Pettinga, J.; Barnes, P. 2008. Seismic hazard of the Canterbury region, New Zealand : new earthquake source model and methodology, Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering 41(2): p. 51-67. DOI: 10.5459/bnzsee.41.2.51-67.
  • Rhoades, D.A.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Christophersen, A.; Savage, M.; Zhuang, J. 2008. Testing and development of earthquake forecasting models
  • Gerstenberger, M.C. 2008. State of earthquake forecasting in New Zealand, Proceedings of the 2008 RMS Science Symposium : advances in earthquake forecasting, 23 January 2008, New York : p. 34-35 (paper 6.5).
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Worden, C.B.; Wald, D.J. 2007. A probabilistic relationship between ground shaking parameters and MMI based on felt report data, New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering : performance by design, can we predict it? : conference proceedings, Palmerston North, 30 March-1 April 2007 : paper 34.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Jones, L.M.; Wiemer, S. 2007. Short term aftershock probabilities : case studies in California, Seismological Research Letters 78(1): p. 66-77.
  • Schorlemmer, D.; Gerstenberger, M.C. 2007. RELM testing center, Seismological Research Letters 78(1): p. 30-36.
  • Schorlemmer, D.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Wiemer, S.; Jackson, D.D.; Rhoades, D.A. 2007. Earthquake likelihood model testing, Seismological Research Letters 78(1): p. 17-29.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Wiemer, S.; Jones, L.M.; Reasenberg, P.A. 2005. Real-time forecasts of tomorrow's earthquakes in California, Nature 435(7040): p. 328-331.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Wiemer, S.; Jones, L. 2004. Real-time forecasts of tomorrow's earthquakes in California : a new mapping tool
  • Wiemer, S.; Gerstenberger, M.C.; Hauksson, E. 2002. Properties of the aftershock sequence of the 1999, MW 7.1 Hector Mine Earthquake : implications for aftershock hazard, Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 92(4): p. 1227–1240.
  • Gerstenberger, M.C.; Wiemer, S.; Giardini, D. 2001. A systematic test of the hypothesis that the b value varies with depth in California, Geophysical Research Letters 28(1): p. 57-60.


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