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Likelihood phase

Publications

Wellington Fault

Begg, J., Langridge, R., Van Dissen, R., Little, T., 2008, Field Trip 1 – Wellington Fault: neotectonics and earthquake geology of the Wellington-Hutt Valley segment. Geological Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication 124B. Geosciences ’08 - Geological Society of New Zealand, New Zealand Geophysical Society, New Zealand Geochemical & Mineralogical Society joint annual conference field trip guide, 23 Nov., 2008, Wellington, New Zealand: p. 5-67.

Langridge, R., Van Dissen, R., Rhoades, D., Villamor, P., Little, T., Litchfield, N., Clark, K., Clark, D., 2011, Five thousand years of surface ruptures on the Wellington fault: implications for recurrence and fault segmentation. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 101 (5): 2088-2107. doi: 10.1785/0120100340.

Langridge, R.M., Van Dissen, R., Villamor, P., Little, T., 2009, It’s Our Fault – Wellington Fault paleoearthquake investigations: final report. GNS Science Consultancy Report 2008/344.

Little, T.A., Van Dissen, R., Rieser, U., Smith, E.G.C., Langridge, R., 2010, Co-seismic strike-slip at a point during the last four earthquakes on the Wellington fault near Wellington, New Zealand. Journal of Geophysical Research 115. B05403. doi:10.1029/2009JB006589.

Ninis, D., Little, T.A., Van Dissen, R.J., Litchfield, N.J., Smith, E.G.C., Wang, N., Rieser, U., Henderson, C.M., 2013, Slip rate on the Wellington Fault, New Zealand, during the late Quaternary: Evidence for variable slip during the Holocene. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 103 (1): 559-579. doi: 10.1785/0120120162.

Ninis, D., Little, T., Van Dissen, R., Smith, E., Langridge, R., 2010, The Wellington Fault - Holocene displacements and slip rates at Emerald Hill, Wellington, New Zealand: Progress Report. VUW Research Report No. 28. 16p.

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Rhoades, D.A., Van Dissen, R.J., Langridge, R.M., Little, T.A., Ninis, D., Smith, E.G.C., Robinson, R., 2011, Re-evaluation of conditional probability of rupture of the Wellington-Hutt Valley segment of the Wellington Fault. Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering 44 (2): 77-86.

Rhoades, D.A., Van Dissen, R.J., Langridge, R.M., Little, T.A., Ninis, D., Smith, E.G.C., Robinson, R., 2010, It’s Our Fault: Re-evaluation of Wellington Fault conditional probability of rupture. in proceedings, New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering Technical Conference, Wellington, New Zealand, 26-28 March, 2010. Paper No. 23, 8p.

Rhoades, D.A., Van Dissen, R.J., Langridge, R.M., Little, T.A., Ninis, D., Smith, E.G.C., Robinson, R., 2010, It’s Our Fault – Conditional probability of rupture of the Wellington-Hutt Valley segment of the Wellington Fault. GNS Science Consultancy Report 2010/16. 17p.

Wairarapa Fault

Carne, R.C., Little, T.A., Rieser, U., 2011, Using displaced river terraces to determine Late Quaternary slip rate for the central Wairarapa Fault at Waiohine River, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics 54 (2): 217-236. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2010.532224.

Little, T.A., Van Dissen, R., Schermer, E., Carne, R., 2009, Late Holocene surface ruptures on the southern Wairarapa fault, New Zealand: link between earthquakes and the raising of beach ridges on a rocky coast. Lithosphere 1(1): 4-28. doi:10.1130/L7.1.

Little, T., Schermer, L., Van Dissen, R., Begg, J., Carne, R., 2008, Field Trip 5 – Southern Wairarapa Fault and Wharekauhau thrust (Palliser Bay). Geological Society of New Zealand Miscellaneous Publication 124B. Geosciences ’08 - Geological Society of New Zealand, New Zealand Geophysical Society, New Zealand Geochemical & Mineralogical Society joint annual conference field trip guide, 27 Nov., 2008, Wellington, New Zealand: p. 75-120.

Van Dissen, R., Rhoades, D., Little, T., Litchfield, N., Carne, R., Villamor, P., 2013, Conditional probability of rupture of the Wairarapa and Ōhariu faults, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics 56 (2): 53-67. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2012.756042.

Schermer, E.R., Little, T.A., Rieser, U., 2009, Quaternary deformation along the Wharekauhau fault system, North Island, New Zealand: Implications for an unstable linkage between active strike-slip and thrust faults. Tectonics 28: TC6008, doi:10.1029/2008TC002426.

Villamor, P., Langridge, R.M., Ries, W., Carne, R., Wilson, K., Seebeck, H., Cowan, L., 2008, It’s Our Fault – Wairarapa Fault slip rate investigations: completion report - Is the Wairarapa Fault slip rate decreasing to the north? GNS Science Consultancy Report 2008/170.

Ohariu Fault

Litchfield, N., Van Dissen, R., Hemphill-Haley, M., Townsend, D., Heron, D., 2010, Post c. 300 year rupture of the Ohariu Fault in Ohariu Valley, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics 53: 43-56.

Litchfield, N., Van Dissen, R., Hemphill-Haley, M., Townsend, D., Heron, D., 2010, It’s Our Fault – Ohariu Fault paleoearthquake investigations: final report. GNS Science Consultancy Report 2010/17: 31p.

Van Dissen, R., Rhoades, D., Little, T., Litchfield, N., Carne, R., Villamor, P., 2013, Conditional probability of rupture of the Wairarapa and Ōhariu faults, New Zealand. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics 56 (2): 53-67. doi: 10.1080/00288306.2012.756042.

Cook Strait active faulting

Barnes, P.M., Pondard, N., 2010, Derivation of direct on-fault submarine paleoearthquake records from high-resolution seismic reflection profiles: Wairau Fault, New Zealand. Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems 11, Q11013. doi:10.1029/2010GC003254.

Barnes, P.M., Pondard, N., Lamarche, G., Mountjoy, J., Van Dissen, R., Litchfield, N., 2008, It’s Our Fault: active faults and earthquake sources in Cook Strait. NIWA Client Report WLG2008-56: 36 p.

Pondard, N., Barnes, P.M., 2010, Structure and paleoearthquake records of active submarine faults, Cook Strait, New Zealand: Implications for fault interactions, stress loading, and seismic hazard. Journal of Geophysical Research 115, B12320. doi:10.1029/2010JB007781.

Subduction zone earthquake geology & geodesy

Cochran, U.A.; Litchfield, N.J.; Clark, K.J.; Ries, W.; Villamor, P.; Howarth, J.; Watson, C.; Strong, D. 2015. Improved Age Control for a Fourteenth Century Earthquake and Tsunami from Okupe Lagoon, Kapiti Island, GNS Science Report 2015/28. 83 p.

Beavan, J., Wallace, L., 2008, It’s Our Fault – Wellington geodetic and GPS studies: task completion report – Fault coupling results from inversion of new and reprocessed GPS campaign data from the Wellington region. GNS Science Consultancy Report 2008/172.

Clark, K., Hayward, B., Cochran, U., Grenfell, H. R., Hemphill-Haley, E., Mildenhall, D., Hemphill-Haley, M., Wallace, L., 2011, Investigating subduction earthquake geology along the southern Hikurangi margin using paleoenvironmental histories of intertidal inlets. New Zealand Journal of Geology and Geophysics 54 (3): 255-271.

Hayward, B., Grenfell, H.R., Sabaa, A., Kay, J., Clark, K., 2011. Ecological distribution of the foraminifera in a tidal lagoon-brackish lake, New Zealand, and its Holocene origins. Journal of Foraminiferal Research 41: 124-137.

Wallace, L. M., Barnes, P., Beavan, J., Van Dissen, R., Litchfield, N., Mountjoy, J., Langridge, R., Lamarche, G., Pondard, N., 2012, The kinematics of a transition from subduction to strike-slip: An example from the central New Zealand plate boundary. Journal of Geophysical Research 117, B02405, doi:10.1029/2011JB008640.

Wilson, K., Cochran, U., 2008, It’s Our Fault – Past subduction zone ruptures: task progress report 2007-08. GNS Science Consultancy Report 2008/173.

Wellington region synthetic seismicity

Robinson, R., Van Dissen, R., Litchfield, N., 2011, Using synthetic seismicity to evaluate seismic hazard in the Wellington region, New Zealand. Geophysical Journal International 187 (1): 510-528. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-246X.2011.05161.x.

Robinson, R., Van Dissen, R., Litchfield, N., 2009, It’s Our Fault – synthetic seismicity of the Wellington region: final report. GNS Science Consultancy Report 2009/192: 36 p.

Aftershock hazard

Christophersen, A.; Rhoades, D.A.; Van Dissen, R.J.; Mueller, C.; Stirling, M.W.; McVerry, G.H.; Gerstenberger, M.C. 2014 Time-varying and long-term mean aftershock hazard in Wellington. paper no. O52 In: Towards integrated seismic design : New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering 2014 Technical Conference and AGM, 21-23 March 2014, Aotea Centre, Auckland. New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering.

Christopherson, A., Rhoades, D.A., McVerry, G.H., Gerstenberger, M.C., Mueller, C., Van Dissen, R.J., Stirling, M.W. 2014, It's Our Fault: Accounting for aftershock hazard in Wellington. GNS Science Consultancy Report 2014/170. 33 p. + Appendices.

Christophersen, A., Rhoades, D., Hainzl, S., 2013, Sensitivity study of aftershock occurrence for a Wellington Fault earthquake. in proceedings, New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering Technical Conference, Wellington, New Zealand, 26-28 April, 2013. Paper No. 8. 8 p.

Rhoades, D.A., Stirling, M.W., Gerstenberger, M.C., McVerry, G.H., Van Dissen, R.J., 2012, It’s Our Fault – Contribution of Wellington Fault rupture aftershocks to long-term earthquake hazard: a progress report. GNS Science Consultancy Report 2012/193: 17 p.

Tsunami Hazard Modelling

Wang, X.; Mueller, C.;Power, W.L.; Lukovic, B. 2017 Arrival time estimates for local source tsunami for Wellington. Lower Hutt, N.Z.: GNS Science. GNS Science report 2016/03. 58 p.; doi: 10.21420/G25C73

Lukovic, B., Heron, D,W,, Wang, X., Power, W.L. 2017. Evacuation time estimates for local source tsunami for Wellington suburbs. GNS Science Report 2017/05.159 p.

Mueller, C., Wang, X. and Power, W.L. 2014, Investigation of the effects of earthquake complexity on tsunami inundation hazard in Wellington Harbour. GNS Science Consultancy Report 2014/198. 43 p.