If an eruption were to occur, what are
the potential impacts?
Numerous types of hazards may result from a volcanic eruption, often
simultaneously. The type of hazards that will occur depend on which
volcano is erupting (Ruapehu, Ngauruhoe, Auckland, Tarawera, Egmont,
Raoul Island or White Island) and the nature of the eruption. For
example an eruption from Ruapehu through the crater lake will be different
from one at say Ngauruhoe where there is no lake. Potential hazards
include ash falls (pyroclastic falls), ballistic fall (lapilli and
lava bombs), pyroclastic flows and surges, lava extrusions (flows
and domes), lahars, volcanic gases, volcanic earthquakes and atmospheric
effects. Many of these phenomena will only affect an area very close
to the volcano. However, volcanic ash fall can be deposited hundreds
to thousands of kilometres from its source, making it the product
most likely to affect the largest area and the greatest number of
people.
ASH
FALL (PYROCLASTIC FALL)
When a volcano erupts it will eject a wide variety of material into
the air above it. The large fragments of material, 0.1 to 10 metres
in diameter, rarely land more than 1-2 km from the vent. However
the fine material (millimetre-sized ash) can be carried by currents
in the eruption column to high above the volcano and pass into the
downwind plume to rain out forming ash (pyroclastic) fall deposits.
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Ash
fall Impact Zones
The impact of ash fall on people,
structures and equipment depends largely on ash thickness. In order
to simplify hazard assessment and to allow the definition of risk
within certain areas, five impact zones can be used. These are areas
receiving less than 1mm of ash, those receiving 1-5mm, 5-100mm,
100-300mm and over 300mm. The thicknesses given are for uncompacted
ash.
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| The following tables outline the impact of the ash
fall. |
| IMPACTS OF ASH FALLS |
Less than 1 mm ash thickness
- Will act as an irritant to lungs and eyes.
- Airports will close due to the potential damage to aircraft.
- Possible minor damage to vehicles, houses and equipment caused
by fine abrasive ash.
- Possible contamination of water supplies, particularly roof-fed
tank supplies.
- Dust (or mud) affects road visibility and traction for an extended
period.
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| 1-5 mm ash thickness
Effects that occur with < 1 mm of ash will be amplified, plus:
- Possible crop damage.
- Some livestock may be affected. Most will not be unduly stressed
but may suffer from lack of feed, wear on teeth, and possible
contamination of water supplies.
- Minor damage to houses will occur if fine ash enters buildings,
soiling interiors, blocking air-conditioning filters, etc.
- Electricity may be cut; ash shorting occurs at substations if
the ash is wet and therefore conductive. Low voltage systems more
vulnerable than high.
- Water supplies may be cut or limited due to failure of electricity
to pumps.
- Contamination of water supplies by chemical leachates may occur.
- High water-usage will result from ash clean-up operations.
- Roads may need to be cleared to reduce the dust nuisance and
prevent storm-water systems from becoming blocked.
- Sewage systems may be blocked by ash, or disrupted by loss of
electrical supplies.
- Damage to electrical equipment and machinery may occur.
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| 5-100 mm ash thickness
Effects that occur with < 5 mm of ash will be amplified, plus:
- Burial of pasture and low plants. Foliage may be stripped off
some trees but most trees will survive.
- Most pastures will be killed by over 50 mm of ash.
- Major ash removal operations in urban areas.
- Most buildings will support the ash load but weaker roof structures
may collapse at 100 mm ash thickness, particularly if the ash
is wet.
- Road transport may be halted due to the build up of ash on roads.
Cars still working may soon stop due to clogging of air-filters.
- Rail transport may be forced to stop due to signal failure bought
on by short circuiting if ash becomes wet.
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100-300 mm ash thickness
Effects that occur with < 100 mm of ash will be amplified, plus:
- Buildings that are not cleared of ash will run the risk of roof
collapse, especially large flat roofed structures and if ash becomes
wet.
- Severe damage to trees, stripping of foliage and breaking of
branches.
- Loss of electrical reticulation due to falling tree branches
and shorting of power lines.
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| > 300 mm ash thickness
Effects that occur with < 300 mm will be amplified, plus:
- Heavy kill of vegetation.
- Complete burial of soil horizon.
- Livestock and other animals killed or heavily distressed.
- Kill of aquatic life in lakes and rivers.
- Major collapse of roofs due to ash loading.
- Loading and possible breakage of power and telephone lines.
- Roads unusable until cleared.
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Electrical Discharges
Ash clouds can generate powerful electrical fields producing intense
and frequent lightning discharges, which can interfere with radio
communications and damage electrical installations, or start fires
in buildings and installations.
PYROCLASTIC FLOWS AND SURGES
If a large volume of volcanic debris is erupted quickly from a
volcano the eruption column can collapse. Like pointing a garden
hose directly up in the sky. As the eruption column collapses it
can transform into an outwardly expanding flood of hot solid ejecta
in a fluidizing gas cloud. This is known as a pyroclastic flow,
or surge if the flow is dilute and turbulent.
The
flow direction may be topographically controlled. Flows and surges
often travel at speeds up to 200 km/h, and cause total destruction
of the areas they cover. Flows and surges maybe very hot (several
hundred oC) and can start fires. Some pyroclastic surges
are cooler (usually less than 300oC) and often deposit
sticky wet mud. Pyroclastic flows and surges represent the most
destructive manifestations of volcanic activity.
People caught in the direct path of a flow or surge are most unlikely
to survive. Those who are lucky enough to survive will receive severe
injuries. Buildings offer some protection at marginal areas of flows
and surges but they are often destroyed. The best protection is
to evacuate prior to the event.
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LAVA
FLOWS
Lava flows are streams of molten rock that will travel down valleys
on the slopes of volcanoes. The distance they travel depends on
the viscosity of the lava, output rates, volume erupted, steepness
of the slope, topography and obstructions in the flow path. Basalt
flows have low viscosity (flow easily) and have been recorded to
travel more than 50 km from a volcano but usually only flow 5-10
kilometres. Andesite flows are more viscous and rarely travel more
than 5 kilometres. Dacite and rhyolite lavas have high viscosity
and typically form short, thick flows or domes.
Lava flows will seldom threaten human life because of their slow
rate of movement. However, the steep fronts of flows may became
unstable and can collapse, causing small pyroclastic flows. Lava
flows will causes total destruction of buildings and other infrastructure
in their path.
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LAHARS
Lahars are "mudflows", mixtures of volcanic ash, blocks
and water, formed on volcanoes. The source of a lahar maybe a crater
lake, a dam collapse or heavy rainfall washing ash from the slope
of a volcano.
People caught in the path of a lahar have a high risk of death
from severe crush injuries, drowning or asphyxiation. Lahars are
often highly erosive to river banks and eyewitnesses should remain
at a safe distance. Lahar events will cause destruction of buildings,
installations and vegetation caught in their path.
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VOLCANIC GASES
Volcanic gases predominately consist of steam, followed by carbon
dioxide and lesser amounts of sulphur and chlorine compounds. Hazardous
concentrations of gases are present only very close to the crater
(within 1 -2 km). Away from the vent gases pose no more than an
irritant or nuisance.
LANDSLIDES (DEBRIS AVALANCHES)
A debris avalanche is the sudden catastrophic collapse (landslide)
from an unstable side of a volcano. Many volcanic cones are steep
sided and unstable due to rapid growth of the cone. Rising magma,
earthquakes, weakening due to hydrothermal alteration and heavy
rain can trigger a debris avalanche of this unstable material. Avalanched
material follows valleys as it moves down the side of the volcano
under the force of gravity. Debris avalanches can be wet, dry or
both, and if wet, an avalanche may evolve and continue to flow further
down slope as a lahar.
TSUNAMI AND SEICHES
Tsunamis are seismic sea waves of long period caused by disturbances
on the sea floor. They can be produced by a submarine earthquakes,
by debris avalanches and by underwater volcanic eruptions. A number
of waves may be produced and they may travel long distances to far-off
shores. The height of a tsunami varies and may be affected by the
sea floor bathymetry, resonance effects and other factors. Volcanic
tsunami may also be produced by landslides or debris avalanches
flowing into the sea around an island volcano.
Large earthquakes before or during a volcanic eruption from a vent
in a lake, may generate seiches (waves) on the lake. The mass entry
of volcanic debris into a lake from an eruption itself may also
create seiches. Low-lying land on the edge of a lake would be flooded
by a seiche. Seiches may also travel down any rivers that flow from
the lake.
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| HYDROTHERMAL ERUPTIONS
Earthquake or volcanic activity can trigger a decrease in the fluid
pressure of a geothermal system, inducing instability and boiling
in the shallow portions. Thus causing steam (hydrothermal)explosions
to occur. Damage from hydrothermal eruptions are generally limited
in extent (a few hundred metres from the vent), and cause damage
only to the immediate area around the active vent. They do not produce
ash clouds, but can deposit muds. |
| Managing volcanic crises:
Mt Ruapehu 1995-1996
Mt Ruapehu's 1995-1996 eruptions cost New Zealand at least $130
million. Mt Ruapehu last erupted in 1945, and although the the physical
effects then were similar, the social and economic impact of the
recent eruptions was much greater. The significant increase in risk
over the past 50 years is due to an increase in the population and
more tourism.
Tourism suffered the biggest financial impact -- estimated at $100
million - largely because the 1996 ski season was ruined. Electricity
generation also suffered heavy losses estimated at $22 million.
About half of that was for repairing the Rangipo power station,
which had two turbines damaged by the ash-laden Tongariro River.
Losses to the aviation industry, with many airports and flights
disrupted by ash, is harder to estimate. However, the value of cancelled
flights alone was $2.4 million. Emergency service costs were $6.5
million. Agriculture suffered relatively light losses, estimated
at $400,000. About 2000 ewes and lambs died from eating ash-covered
grass, and ash destroyed the annual cauliflower crop in Gisborne.
The 1995-96 Ruapehu eruptions lasted a total of four months and
threw out more ash, cinder blocks, magma jets and more lahars (mudflows)
than in the history of Mt Ruapehu since European settlement.
At least 16 organisations, including the Institute, had major roles
during and after the eruptions. The eruptions demonstrated the need
for clear lines of communication between these organisations, and
particularly among key decision-makers. The Institute's involvement
at crisis management meetings was a key factor in the success of
managing the response.
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